Last updated on May 19, 2024

Hi Edvin

I got the 6/48, and I'm using the 12 number covering.

Now, what I did was to create four csv templates for different numbers. Now each csv has 12 numbers covering, so I created four of those csv files, essentially trying to cover a total of 48 numbers.

I chose this method instead of 24 numbers, because 24 is expensive, and using 12 numbers per csv, creating four of them covering 48 numbers in total is a lot cheaper.

Do you perhaps have any suggestions. Please let me know what you think.

Kind regards,

Ms K.N.

Hi Ms. K.N.,

Thank you for writing.

Playing the 6/48 game with four separate CSV files is not cheap. Playing them together does not create a strategic play, and that’s not how probability works in the lottery.

Since these groups are isolated lottery wheels and do not collectively cover the entire range of winning numbers, the only valid scenario in which a player can match six winning numbers in one ticket is if all six numbers are chosen from the same group.

Supposed you divide 48 numbers into four groups of 12 numbers:

Group A = 12 numbers covering 924 tickets.

Group B = 12 numbers covering 924 tickets.

Group C = 12 numbers covering 924 tickets.

Group D = 12 numbers covering 924 tickets.

We can calculate the probability of each group as follows:

*P(All 6 numbers in one group) = ^{924}/_{12,271,512}*

And since there are 4 groups, we can multiply this by four.

*P(6 winning numbers from all groups) = 4 × ^{924}/_{12,271,512} = ^{3,696}/_{12,271,512}*

Thus, you have 3,696 ways to match 6 winning numbers and win the jackpot, securing your win with a probability of 1 in 3,320 instead of 1 in 12 million.

Of course, that’s every lottery player’s objective. Unfortunately, a lottery game has a different behavior.

Always remember that a genuine random game will not favor certain groups. We must expect that the probability is always fairly distributed across the number field.

Therefore, the most likely scenario is that the winning combination may match two numbers from Group A, one from Group B, and three from Group C. To understand why this happens, please read The Winning Lottery Formula Using Math.

So, thinking that playing all groups A, B, C, and D together will provide you with a strategic approach is an example of a conjunction fallacy.

## What is the conjunction fallacy?

In gambling, the conjunction fallacy occurs when people overestimate the intersection of different events. We express this fallacy when people believe that the probability of two events happening together, *P(A ∩ B)*, is greater than *P(A)*.

In reality, the probability of Event A and B happening together cannot be greater than Event A occurring alone. In short, the correct probability is the product of the individual probabilities. The result is always less than or equal to the smallest probability.

P(A ∩ B) ≤ P(A)

For example, let’s consider these two events:

**Event A:**At least one ticket from each group (A, B, C, and D) will win a small prize.**Event B:**At least one ticket from each group (A, B, C, and D) will win a small prize, and one jackpot ticket will come from one of these groups.

Probabilistically speaking, seeing Events A and B happening together is less likely because the product of two probabilities is always less than or equal to the smallest probability.

The intersection of two events, A and B, is given by:

*P*(*A* ∩ *B*) = *P*(*A*) × *P*(*B*∣*A*)

Given the calculations:

*P(A) ≈ 0.99999988*

*P(B) ≈ 0.000301*

We found:

*P(A ∩ B) = 0.99999988 × 0.000301 ≈ 0.000301*

Since: 0.000301 ≤ 0.999999880. This confirms that having four CSV files is not only expensive but also ineffective.

The conjunction fallacy demonstrates how gut feeling can lead to poor decision-making.^{1} Making informed decisions is very important.

However, I can confirm that buying more tickets will increase your chances of winning.

If you aim to trap the 6 winning numbers, wheeling 12 numbers in a single CSV file is better strategically than having four separate CSV files combined. If you want to trap more winning numbers, increase your covering size and subject all the numbers collectively into one lottery wheel. And yes, it’s expensive. The truth may hurt, but that’s the truth.

I suggest the following:

- Stick with just one CSV file. Make it simple. Choose only one template that works for you. Use your Lotterycodex Calculator to set this up on a silver platter.
- Monitor the template’s occurrences based on their S/F ratio and play when your entertainment budget is ready.
- Play the same list of combinations each time.
- Always save some entertainment money when playing the lottery.
- Spend the money you can afford to lose.
- Consider playing as a syndicate if you want to cover more combinations.
- If you’re a solo player, just buy one ticket.
- And more importantly, play for fun.

I hope that helps.

Stay safe,

Edvin