# Statistical Analysis of the Lottery: Why Consistent Data Matters

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Last updated on June 2, 2024

To conduct a meaningful statistical analysis of the lottery, it’s very important to avoid mixing datasets, as lottery games may undergo different changes over time.

Mixing historical results of a 6/36 and a 6/49 game will only lead to inaccurate conclusions.

Allow me to share one of my conversations with one lottery player.

`Hi Edvin,I bought your 6/46 calculator.I downloaded “the dominant” combination template. However when I checked some suggested composition against the historical data for NJ Pick 6 wins it showed those patterns never won going all the way back to 1980 which contradicts your point of patterns being repeated every 5-6 or even more draws.So my question is should I check every pattern in your suggestion for historical appearance and only choose ones that showed up in history which means combining combinatorics with statistics that you said not needed to use your calculators.I am just trying to verify your point of combinatorial composition repeat themselves at least once in while in lottery drawings. The only tool I can use is the search tool for the past winning numbers here https://www.njlottery.com/en-us/drawgames/pick6lotto.html#tab-winningNumbersSo when I enter any suggested composition from “the dominant” list, it does not show as jackpot won at all for as long back as 1980.  Essentially, I am trying to verify your combinatorial math approach by the historical statistics.Thanks.Berry`

Hi Berry,

Thank you for your explanation, and I understand what you are trying to achieve.

Allow me to offer my perspective on this matter.

First, the New Jersey Pick-6 game evolved through several alterations over the years, shifting from a 6/36 format to 6/39, then progressing to 6/42, followed by 6/46, eventually arriving at 6/49, and ultimately reverting to 6/46.1

So, if you’re conducting statistical verification of the Lotterycodex analysis using data as far back as 1980, then it becomes quite challenging to establish any meaningful comparisons due to inconsistent datasets.2

With an inconsistent dataset, you achieve nothing but unstable probability distribution.

In short, you cannot mix 6/36, 6/39, 6/42, 6/46, and 6/49 datasets.

Accurately analyzing the game’s behavior becomes more challenging when the foundational rules continuously change.

I appreciate your diligence in your research. All lottery players should adopt a similar mindset. I actively encourage users of Lotterycodex to verify all calculations with historical results, and I’ve emphasized this on my website multiple times.

As you can observe in many of my articles, I’m actively involved in statistical verification. However, it’s crucial to approach this task with care. For instance, when conducting a statistical analysis of the Powerball game, I must initiate my analysis from October 7, 2015, when the 5/69 format was introduced.

How to Win Powerball According to Math

The same principle applies to Mega Millions. This game adopted the 5/70 format on October 31, 2017, so my analysis should start on this date to make an accurate data comparison.

Powerball and Mega Millions have undergone numerous changes over time. Therefore, extracting the appropriate dataset is imperative to conduct a meaningful analysis.

The reality is that lottery games go through various transformations over time. This is why I exercise great caution in my analysis to provide precise and timely insights.

I hope that helps. If you need further assistance, please let me know.

Stay safe,
Edvin

1. New Jersey Lottery    []
2. Data Consistency    []